Tropical threat or tropical relief

The most recent tropical low near Deep South Texas continues to churn well south of the RGV just east of Tampico, Mexico in the Southern Gulf of Mexico.

This area of low pressure first showed up in my forecast on Wednesday but remained unimpressive as a generic surface low promising nothing more than a slight increase in showers by Sunday.

The area of low pressure is maturing and becoming better defined capturing the eye of the National Hurricane Center which has placed a slight chance for further development with this low.

There is no data yet to suggest this low will become a tropical depression or anything significant but considering the time of year it is always best to be cautious. Sea surface temperatures are warming but remain a bit on the cool side which should prevent this low from blowing up into something dangerous.

The question left unanswered is where this area of low pressure will go. Will this low slide west into Mexico, slip northwest toward the Valley or steam north near Galveston?