Tropical depression looms off Honduras
Tue, 14 Oct 2008 18:20:47 GMT —
Tropical Depression 16 formed in the Caribbean Tuesday morning but some of its effects could end up hitting the Rio Grande Valley.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami is keeping a close on the storm that could add yet even more tropical moisture into the area and send it toward the Valley.
This latest system proves that the tropical season for storm development is far from over.
Surface observations suggested that the center is located just northeast of the coast of eastern Honduras.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the depression Tuesday afternoon, which should provide a more accurate assessment of the intensity.
Forecast models predict that the storm TMs track is currently in a west-southwestward motion, which brings the center inland over eastern Honduras.
The official forecast keeps the center over water for the next two to three days -- just north of the northern coast of Honduras and then the storm is expected to make landfall in Belize.
However, it is certainly possible that the depression could make landfall in Honduras.
Therefore, the government of Honduras has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the eastern portion of its country.
The exact track of the depression will have large implications on the future intensity of the cyclone.
If the center remains over the warm waters of the western Caribbean during the next couple of days, shear is forecast to remain low.
So intensification would appear likely.
Of course, if the center moves near of over land the changes for strengthening would be much less.